How do I pick a horse?
How do I pick a horse?
That’s the million dollar question at every race track around the world.
People have all kinds of theories on how to pick a horse for a race.
Some people believe in following the form. The form is reflected in a ‘form guide’ – which provides details of the horse’s career performances. The numbers signify the horse’s recent performances. A “1” signifies a win, “3” means it ran third, and a “0” means it came 10th or lower.
The form guide will also outline a horse’s performances over different distances, on different track conditions and at each track.
Horses for Courses
Many believe that a horse’s historical performances at a track are a good predictor of future performances. The expression “horses for courses” highlights that some horses perform better at some tracks but not others.
Racetracks are not of a uniform standard or specification. They have different finishing straights (some are long and some are short), different shapes and different gradients (uphill or downhill to the finishing post).
Horses race in a clockwise direction in some States (Queensland and New South Wales), and in an anti-clockwise direction in others (Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia, Western Australia and the Northern Territory).
Horses may also show a preference for running on wet tracks or dry tracks.
However, the form guide does not allow for fate, chance and most importantly, luck. A variety of factors may determine the victor of a race – the speed of the race, weather conditions and intangible matters such as the mood of the horse.
Luck in running
A popular racetrack expression is “luck in running”. This describes whether the horse had a lucky or unlucky run during the race. Horses which are caught out wide end up running a further distance (given the circular nature of tracks) – and are therefore considered to have an unlucky run.
There is no right or wrong reason to choose a horse. Picking a horse because it is wearing the colour pink and starts with the letter “J” might have the same chance of success as selecting a horse based on hours of form guide analysis.
Prince of Penzance won the 2015 Melbourne Cup at odds of $100 to 1. While many people dismissed the chances of the horse; people who followed the letters Z or the colour green came up trumps.
You can use the Best Fairy Flutter app to enter your lucky charms (numbers, letters, colours etc) and find horses best matched to your preferences at any Australian horse race. But it’s not all about luck, the app also displays the horse’s recent form, its barrier, jockey and trainer, and odds.